Opinion Here Are 3 Ways to End the War in Ukraine One Might Actually Work

While this scenario might appear positive for Ukraine, with Russia becoming a pariah state at a global level and withdrawing after a costly invasion, Ukraine would be "devastated" in the process, the strategists said. In this scenario, the strategists noted that a Ukrainian insurgency could force "a significant, sustained human and financial toll on Russia" as it would be required to devote far more of its resources over a much longer period of time than it had anticipated. In the meantime, NATO countries "would likely provide covert but very robust defensive assistance to the Ukrainian resistance." There are many questions over who could lead a loyalist regime in Ukraine, one that could resemble that of Belarus' Alexander Lukashenko. Kuzio noted that there has been speculation about Moscow seeking to install former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who was stripped of his powers by Ukrainian lawmakers during the 2014 Maidan Revolution and fled Kyiv for Russia. Resistance to Russian forces is likely to get tougher as the war progresses and Russia pulls out the stops to seize more territory.

While the bipartisan majority of lawmakers support arming Kyiv, 57 Republicans voted against a $40 billion emergency aid supplemental in May. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., made several concessions to those Ukraine aid skeptics to secure the votes to win his protracted speakership battle. “ https://click4r.com/posts/g/16484810/ would have to get pretty bad for the Russians to get there,” he said, adding that there’s no way of knowing how many reserves the government stashed away after years of fat checks from energy sales. An inability to do so could foster economic discontent capable of turning public opinion against the war, Lichfield told Defense News.

Ukraine will press Russia around Crimea

Ukraine's air defenses have been surprisingly effective against Russia's air force. That said, there wasn't much of a political will for third countries to sanction Cuba at the time. It's possible today's situation with Russia might make such a policy more politically palatable if the U.S. attempted it again, though I can't find any serious proposal in the government to do just that. It is theoretically possible for the U.S. to sanction countries that maintain economic ties with Russia. The best precedent for this is perhaps the Helms–Burton Act, which extended U.S. sanctions on Cuba toward any foreign company doing business with both Cuba and the U.S. at the same time.

In the course of the past year, Putin’s domestic propaganda strategy has morphed from a message of “fight the Nazis” in Ukraine to “fight the West” there, said Stefan Meister, a Russia and Eastern Europe expert at the Berlin-based German Council on Foreign Relations. “The narrative is the great struggle of the Cold War,” he said, a framing that has helped to attract new recruits. Perhaps Italian analyst Lucio Caracciolo was the most pessimistic of all.

Do you think that we will eventually take action against countries that purchase oil and other products from Russia? — Harris

In his first visit to neighbouring Ukraine as prime minister, Poland's Donald Tusk delivered a message of friendship to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and said both sides "have reached a common understanding" over protests by Polish truckers. Tusk, the former president of the European Council, meanwhile said that Poland would try to help Ukraine with its process of EU accession. The leaders also discussed "the possibilities of joint future arms production," Zelenskyy said. "We appreciate such unflagging support. There is a new form of our cooperation – aimed at a larger scale of arms purchases for Ukrainian needs – the Polish loan for Ukraine," Zelenskyy said in a statement. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced a "new Polish defense package" after meeting in Kyiv with Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who was making his first visit to a non-EU country since returning to the top job in December. However, Ambassador Sajdik believes compromise is possible and that Minsk is a viable solution to end the conflict.

• More than ever, the outcome depends on political decisions made miles away from the centre of the conflict - in Washington and in Brussels.









• That’s because the longer conflicts last, the more they exhaust finite resources and, hence, the parties are more willing to gamble.









• That hasn't let up, if only because it's a powerful emotional and recruitment tool.

We now know the Russian leader is willing to break long-standing international norms. But it was a reminder that Russian doctrine allows for the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons on the battlefield. Russia said the Ukrainian forces' strike on Donetsk will be discussed at a U.N. "The Russian Foreign Ministry called on all responsible governments and international structures to condemn this terrorist attack," news agency Tass reported. So if Russia manages to stymie plans A and B, where would that leave us by, say this time next year? Should Ukraine and its allies simply carry on, hoping for a breakthrough in 2025 or beyond?

The state of the war

Yes, Russian forces could try to go on the offensive again, but the likely futility of attacking fortified Ukrainian positions now backed by the threat of NATO firepower would be a strong deterrent. Meanwhile, sanctions on Russia would remain; its economic and military strength would continue to erode; and Putin could only watch as his frozen assets abroad are drawn down to pay for Ukraine’s reconstruction. The first and most obvious way for Ukraine to win would be for its armed forces to take back all the territory Russia has unlawfully seized since its first invasion in 2014 — including Crimea.

But only if there is political will, and that is something Russia and Ukraine accuse each other of not having. Under the Minsk agreements, elections must be held according to Ukrainian law and that is possible only if they control the border, he insists. That is why Ukraine insists it should regain control of the frontier before local elections are held. Another major stumbling block is how to implement the deal's political provisions. But that would turn those territories into "quasi-independent mini states controlled by Russia", and enable Moscow to have a profound influence on Ukraine's foreign and domestic policies, Mr Allan says.

• Not fully recuperated from slow economic growth during the pandemic and encumbered with higher debt levels, many developing countries now face higher food costs and, for the non-energy exporters, greater energy burdens as a result of the war in Ukraine.









• As the day developed, we saw furious reaction from the US, UK and its allies.









• European security was also fundamentally changed by Russia's invasion on February 24 and many states outside of Russia and Ukraine have a stake in its outcome, analysts said.









• Thanking the diaspora for its support, including those who had come to fight for Ukraine, Zelenskiy said the words "I am Ukrainian" carried a special meaning, and hailed the "indomitability of our people."









• According to the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, the newly appointed Russian General Sergey Surovikin plans to build a solid line of defense in occupied territories and effectively freeze the war over the winter.

A deal was reached in 2015 between Ukraine's then-president Petro Poroshenko and Russia's Vladimir Putin. For seven years, a war has been going on in eastern Ukraine and now Russia is accused by the West of threatening an invasion. In numerous speeches, the president has declared that Ukraine must militarize itself for a life in constant threat, while developing an anti-aircraft defense system that allows its cities to develop, despite periodic Russian bombings. However, Kotkin has criticized this idea of transforming Ukraine “into a fortress state” because “it doesn’t help achieve lasting peace.” He also adds that this model wouldn’t match the requirements for EU membership. The German case has also been widely used to understand what the future holds for Ukraine.

• Ask any analyst or observer how they think the war in Ukraine will play out, and they'll tell you their guess is only as good as the next offensive.









• Russian offensive activity is increasing in intensity, data collected by Ukraine's armed forces in mid-January confirms, Britain's Ministry of Defense said Sunday.









• While the Chinese leader is committed to at least rough alignment with Putin, his fear of sanctions and international isolation will likely limit that solidarity.









• The United Nations, the African Union and other international organisations have set up mediation teams.









• "The elites and potential successors are watching [Putin's] every military move, but they can already see that he has no place in their post-war vision of the future," Russian journalist Andrey Pertsev wrote in his analysis for the Carnegie Endowment.

"Today I am submitting to the Verkhovna Rada a key draft law that will allow the adoption of comprehensive legislative amendments and the introduction of multiple citizenship," Zelenskyy said in a statement. A day of mourning in Donetsk was declared by Russian authorities Monday. Pushilin also claimed Ukraine had used cluster munitions in the strike, which the Kremlin described as a terrorist attack.

• But this turns sour and enough members of Russia's military, political and economic elite turn against him.









• The GLSDB has a range of up to 93 miles, doubling Ukraine’s strike range.









• The areas are largely in the eastern Donbas region and in the south of mainland Ukraine, as well as the Crimea peninsula which Russia annexed in 2014.









• But Mr Putin might take the risk if he felt it was the only way of saving his leadership.









• Russia’s economy contracted by only a little more than 2 percent last year – far less than expected.

Warsaw became a key ally for Kyiv as it sought Western financial and military support against Russia, but relations deteriorated in recent months when blockades at the border damaged Ukraine's economy. The leaders of Poland and Ukraine pledged on Monday to tackle a thorny political dispute that had hampered their critical wartime alliance and boost defence cooperation as Russia's invasion grinds towards its third year. The government in Kyiv argues that special status for the rebel-controlled areas of eastern Ukraine is already incorporated into nationwide decentralisation reform.